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Julio 19, 2005

Cochabamba Poll

Now it's Cochabamba's turn to weigh in on its choice for President with its own poll. The Universidad Mayor de San Simon (UMSS) and its Political Science Department polled approximately 1,100 from the Cochabamba Department. Included in this poll, were individuals from the 14 municipalities that make up el Cercado, as well as the other 6 rural provinces including the MAS-supporting Chapare.

The results may indicate a bit of a surprise because many of the other polls only included responses from the urban centers, which includes many who despise Evo's radical measures that he supports. This poll included rural respondents and the rise in both Quiroga's and Evo's support eclipses other polls where each only reached 16-17%.


Tuto Quiroga (AXXI) - 29%
Evo (MAS) - 28%
Doria Medina (UN) - 11%

This just shows that this election will be fought along so many different divisions: indigenous vs. mestizo/white; occident vs. orient; and now urban vs. rural.

Posted by eduardo at Julio 19, 2005 09:43 AM

Comments

The link was broken.

You mention that the increases are because the poll includes rural areas. One alternate scenario is that the poll does not include Carlos Mesa and the pollsters were told to push people to name someone (not let them say "Don't know"). Evo's poll numbers would rise on sheer name recognition in that case.

Not disputing the poll results, just providing another interpretation. I'd be willing to believe Evo has 30% support in a 3 or 4 way race.

Posted by: boz at Julio 20, 2005 06:57 AM

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